Odds Ratio Snapshot: ME/CFS without IBS

This document presents the results of statistical analysis on symptoms from viable, self-annotated Biomesight microbiome samples. The methodology for data acquisition is outlined in New Standards for Microbiome Analysis?.

ME/CFS with IBS is coming!​

Tables have been refined to display only genus- and species-level taxa, the 20 most prominent entries per group, and associations achieving statistical significance (P < 0.01).

The following sections provide the processed data, accompanied by guidance on interpretation and application. Counts of significant bacterial taxa are included, reflecting the application of non-standard but rigorously validated statistical approaches to extensive sample and reference populations, where statistical power derives from dataset scale.

SignificanceGenus
p < 0.01174
p < 0.001155
p < 0.0001137
p < 0.00001128

Averages and Medians

I prefer medians over averages. Medians are the values where half of the people have less and half has more. If the data was a bell-curve, then the values will almost be the same… with bacteria that happens rarely. Look at Faecalibacterium prausnitzii below, we see that the average is above and the median below.

If symptom median is higher than reference median, it means there is more of this bacteria. If lower, then less. This ignores how often the bacteria is seen (we average only over reports).

tax_nameRankSymptom AvarageReference AverageSymptom MedianReference Median
Faecalibacterium prausnitziispecies12.72512.19411.31512.88
Faecalibacteriumgenus13.31512.75711.94513.394
Roseburiagenus2.6222.8461.8111.203
Parabacteroidesgenus3.0562.6091.7162.291
Bacteroides uniformisspecies3.0432.721.5582.035
Phocaeicola doreispecies2.812.9120.4020.806
Oscillospiragenus2.6182.3461.952.273
Novispirillumgenus0.9640.8630.0910.295
Insolitispirillumgenus0.9640.8640.0910.295
Insolitispirillum peregrinumspecies0.9640.8640.0910.295
Parabacteroides goldsteiniispecies0.9450.5560.1310.319
Clostridiumgenus1.9621.8551.3611.533
Parabacteroides merdaespecies0.8570.7410.2970.469
Bacteroides cellulosilyticusspecies1.2220.8410.0750.244
Caloramatorgenus1.2650.9270.1020.22
Bacteroides ovatusspecies1.2581.5230.60.482
Ruminococcus bromiispecies0.8380.7890.1640.269
Pedobactergenus1.2740.9890.5520.651
Bacteroides xylanisolvensspecies0.450.5590.3380.255
Bifidobacteriumgenus0.4340.9530.1260.056

Bacteria Incidence – How often is it reported

The common sense belief is that if a bacteria is reported more often, then the amount should be higher. This is often not true. The microbiome is a complex thing. Look at Dehalobacterium below, we see that is occurs much more often.

tax_nameRankIncidence Odds RatioChi2Symptoms %Reference %
Dehalobacteriumgenus1.477.75638.1
Ammonifex thiophilusspecies1.487.550.734.3
Ammonifexgenus1.487.450.734.3
Pontibacter niistensisspecies1.456.851.335.4
Pontibactergenus1.456.751.335.5
Nodularia balticaspecies2.0314.524.712.1
Nodulariagenus2.0314.524.712.1
Nodulariagenus2.0314.524.712.1
Desulfonatronovibriogenus1.9212.82613.5
Microcoleusgenus1.8812.326.714.2
Microcoleus antarcticusspecies1.8812.326.714.2
Paraburkholderiagenus1.546.732.721.2
Roseospiragenus1.627.83018.5
Paraburkholderia phenoliruptrixspecies1.627.629.318.1
Rhodovibriogenus1.576.729.318.7
Rhodovibrio sodomensisspecies1.576.729.318.7
Clostridium acetireducensspecies1.728.123.313.5

More or Less often based on Symptom Median All Incidence

This is a little more complex to understand. If we compute the mid point for people with the symptom, then if the bacteria was not involved then half of the reference should be above this value and half below this value. If not, it means that the symptom tends to over or under growth.

tax_nameRankSymptom MedianOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Niabella aurantiacaspecies0.0020.3436.5538182
Psychrobacter glacialisspecies0.0020.3731.7667249
Niabellagenus0.0020.3829.1578222
Viridibacillus neideispecies0.0020.3828.5474180
Thermodesulfovibrio thiophilusspecies0.0020.4520.6538240
Oenococcusgenus0.0020.4520.4611276
Thermodesulfovibriogenus0.0020.4619.3625289
Helicobacter suncusspecies0.0020.4719.2771362
Viridibacillusgenus0.0020.515.3491244
Desulfotomaculum defluviispecies0.0030.5512.21021565
Streptococcus infantisspecies0.0030.5512804443
Hydrogenophilusgenus0.0030.5810.61149664
Alkalibacteriumgenus0.0030.5810.3894517
Pelagicoccusgenus0.0020.5810.2846489
Olivibacter solispecies0.0020.5610.1462261
Salisaeta longaspecies0.0020.5710509290
Treponemagenus0.0030.5710592340
Salisaetagenus0.0020.579.8508291
Sporotomaculum syntrophicumspecies0.0030.599.81111655
Clostridium taeniosporumspecies0.0030.618.91353820

More or Less often based on Reference Median All Incidence

This is like the above, but with a different line in the sand. Instead of the median of those with the condition, we use the median of the reference set.

tax_nameRankReference MedianOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Candidatus Amoebophilus asiaticusspecies0.0160.4430725471120
Candidatus Amoebophilusgenus0.0160.4430725471120
Oscillatoria corallinaespecies0.0030.32247.4874276
Oscillatoriagenus0.0030.32247.4874276
Parabacteroides goldsteiniispecies0.3190.49237.725581260
Rhodothermusgenus0.0340.49230.324541213
Rhodothermus clarusspecies0.0340.49230.224521212
Paenibacillusgenus0.0030.39200.81001394
Granulicatellagenus0.00252.251925701280
Listeriagenus0.0030.29190.5563162
Listeria innocuaspecies0.0030.29189.2561162
Acidaminobacter hydrogenoformansspecies0.0030.35185.2721252
Acidaminobactergenus0.0030.35184.7722253
Candidatus Glomeribactergenus0.0040.45182.11264575
Psychrobacter glacialisspecies0.0020.37157.7667249
Niabella aurantiacaspecies0.0020.34151.1538182
Methylonatrumgenus0.0040.54145.21632875
Methylonatrum kenyensespecies0.0040.54145.21632875
Hymenobacter xinjiangensisspecies0.0070.53139.51482788
Niabellagenus0.0020.38133.8578222

More or Less often based on Symptom Median High Incidence

Above we see that many of the top bacteria identified are sparse, that is not reported often. We then restrict them to those that occur above 50% or the time.

tax_nameRankSymptom Median FreqOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Clostridium taeniosporumspecies0.0030.618.91353820

More or Less often based on Reference Median High Incidence

Above we see that many of the top bacteria identified are sparse, that is not reported often. We then restrict them to those that occur above 50% or the time.

tax_nameRankReference Median FreqOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Candidatus Amoebophilusgenus0.0160.4430725471120
Candidatus Amoebophilus asiaticusspecies0.0160.4430725471120
Oscillatoriagenus0.0030.32247.4874276
Oscillatoria corallinaespecies0.0030.32247.4874276
Parabacteroides goldsteiniispecies0.3190.49237.725581260
Rhodothermusgenus0.0340.49230.324541213
Rhodothermus clarusspecies0.0340.49230.224521212
Paenibacillusgenus0.0030.39200.81001394
Granulicatellagenus0.00252.251925701280
Listeriagenus0.0030.29190.5563162
Listeria innocuaspecies0.0030.29189.2561162
Acidaminobacter hydrogenoformansspecies0.0030.35185.2721252
Acidaminobactergenus0.0030.35184.7722253
Candidatus Glomeribactergenus0.0040.45182.11264575
Psychrobacter glacialisspecies0.0020.37157.7667249
Niabella aurantiacaspecies0.0020.34151.1538182
Methylonatrumgenus0.0040.54145.21632875
Methylonatrum kenyensespecies0.0040.54145.21632875
Hymenobacter xinjiangensisspecies0.0070.53139.51482788
Niabellagenus0.0020.38133.8578222

Summary

A large number of bacterial taxa exhibit shifts with P < 0.01 in association with this condition. The subsequent challenge is determining how to modulate these taxa, since the volume of candidates exceeds what most individuals can practically consider. Moreover, for many of the taxa identified, there is no published evidence in the U.S. National Library of Medicine describing how to alter their abundance.

A deep optimization model, such as the one implemented on the Microbiome Taxa R2 site, can be used to inform probiotic selection. This model provides coverage for each identified taxon and infers which probiotics are most likely to shift their levels. Its output may then be integrated with more conventional recommendations derived from literature indexed in the U.S. National Library of Medicine where such evidence exists, with the two recommendation sets reconciled by giving priority to probiotic-based suggestions.

Development of a dedicated database based on Biomesight samples is in progress. The current model uses data contributed by PrecisionBiome, and datasets generated with differing laboratory processing pipelines cannot be safely combined, as discussed in The taxonomy nightmare before Christmas…. Once the Biomesight-specific database is complete, an option for generating (offline-only) personalized suggestions will be added to the Microbiome Prescription website.

Probiotics Suggestions

The following are based on a simplified algorithm using R2 data for Biomesight. These are tentative numbers subject to future refinements. Bacteria listed are only for probiotics detected with Biomesight tests. Probiotics include some that are available only in some countries and some that are pending approval for retail sale.

  • Good Count: Number of bacteria expected to shift in desired direction
  • Bad Count: Number of bacteria expected to shift in wrong direction
  • Impact: Estimator of impact based on Chi-2, Slope and R2 vectors
Probiotic SpeciesImpactGood CountBad Count
Bifidobacterium breve62.66150
Bifidobacterium longum56.01150
Enterococcus faecalis54.65827
Bifidobacterium adolescentis41.58130
Lactobacillus johnsonii34.135129
Bifidobacterium bifidum12.62110
Bifidobacterium catenulatum11.3491
Enterococcus faecium10.411714
Segatella copri5.9510
Bifidobacterium animalis5.6870
Streptococcus thermophilus3.360
Veillonella atypica1.16160
Pediococcus acidilactici1.124514
Clostridium butyricum0.98203
Enterococcus durans0.95366
Lactococcus lactis0.3863
Lactobacillus jensenii0.162126
Ligilactobacillus salivarius0.0773
Lacticaseibacillus paracasei0.07717
Lacticaseibacillus casei-0.117
Lactiplantibacillus pentosus-0.11516
Limosilactobacillus fermentum-0.161519
Lactiplantibacillus plantarum-0.1707
Lactobacillus crispatus-0.18212
Leuconostoc mesenteroides-0.3386
Lacticaseibacillus rhamnosus-0.34123
Bacillus subtilis-0.392542
Lactobacillus acidophilus-0.541414
Heyndrickxia coagulans-0.741334
Limosilactobacillus reuteri-0.823029
Odoribacter laneus-0.8203
Limosilactobacillus vaginalis-1.112840
Bifidobacterium pseudocatenulatum-1.171116
Lactobacillus helveticus-2.193479
Escherichia coli-2.2946
Bacteroides uniformis-4.1334
Bacteroides thetaiotaomicron-4.7634
Blautia wexlerae-37.7716
Akkermansia muciniphila-50.11030
Parabacteroides goldsteinii-67.85018
Parabacteroides distasonis-111.5306
Blautia hansenii-130.51027
Faecalibacterium prausnitzii-378.8529